Richmond times Dispatch:

WOODBRIDGE, Va. —

In June 2008, Democrat Barack Obama kicked off his general election campaign at the Nissan Pavilion in western Prince William County.

Five months later, he closed his presidential campaign with an election-eve rally that drew about 85,000 people to the Prince William County Fairgrounds.

This Friday, Obama returns to the area, holding a re-election rally in Manassas, where GOP nominee Mitt Romney campaigned Aug. 11 with his running mate, Rep. Paul Ryan.

Prince William, a booming Northern Virginia exurb of 413,000 residents, is home to some of Virginia’s most prominent conservatives, including Del. Robert G. Marshall, R-Prince William, Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli and Corey A. Stewart, chairman of the county’s Board of Supervisors. Yet Obama carried Prince William by 25,000 votes in 2008, becoming the first Democratic nominee to win the county — and the state — in 44 years.

The political cross-currents that made that possible — affluence, diversity, cul-de-sacs sprouting where there were once country fields — make Virginia’s second-largest county a key battleground in this pivotal swing state.

“If you win Fairfax County and Prince William you’re almost guaranteed to tilt the state,” said Rep. Gerald E. Connolly, D-11th.

As for Romney, “He’s got to take Prince William,” says Connolly’s predecessor, Republican Thomas M. Davis III. “He doesn’t need it by a lot, but he needs to carry Prince William.”

For decades, Prince William and Loudoun County, its neighbor to the north, were outside-the-Beltway behemoths that gave Republicans something of a firewall in presidential elections.

In 2008, that firewall collapsed. Obama swept all of Northern Virginia, winning Arlington, Fairfax, Loudoun and Prince William counties and the cities of Alexandria, Falls Church, Fairfax, Manassas and Manassas Park.

Collectively, Obama won Northern Virginia by 234,079 votes. In the rest of the state combined, he edged Republican John McCain by 448 votes.

If I were sitting here as a betting woman and if I was asked who will carry PWC, I would probably say Romney.  Why?  Because as an Obama supporter, I  feel like I have jackals circling the wagons.  Maybe if I were quiet and sheepish about it, I would view things differently.

I don’t have any yard signs out and my husband goes off quietly to make his phone calls for Tim Kaine.   Maybe we are under too much aof a microscope to be able to see ourselves as others see us.

So where will Obama be this Friday?  I have no idea.  I have tried to find out but no one is saying.  It sounds like a fairly big event.  Last time it was at the Fairgrounds. I can’t picture 85,000 coming into the region.  That’s how many folks were here the night before the election in 2008.   Who will attend this time?  Will the crowds be so enthused?  Is the guild off the lily?  Who foots the bill for this close encounter with the election?  Did the City of Manassas ever get reimbursed for its costs when Romney came to town?

I am still recoiling from reading that PWC is the home of Bob Marshall, Ken Cuccinelli and  Corey Stewart.  That’s  enough to make you put your house on the market and move.  Of the three, I’ll take Corey hands down!

 

 

3 Thoughts to “Prince William seen as key battleground”

  1. Elena

    In July, Prince William’s jobless rate was 4.9 percent, compared with the overall state rate of 5.9 percent and the national rate of 8.3 percent.

    But the federal jobs and related contracting positions that cushion Prince William against unemployment leave the county particularly vulnerable to the automatic defense cuts that would kick in under the process known as sequestration.

    Virginia could lose 207,571 jobs from federal spending cuts — 136,191 resulting from Department of Defense cuts and 71,380 from non-Defense Department cuts — starting next year if Congress fails to resolve the budget crisis, according to an analysis released in July.

    Stephen Fuller, an economist at George Mason University who conducted the study with Chmura Economics and Analytics, a research firm in Richmond, says the cuts would hit Northern Virginia particularly hard because of its concentration of contracting jobs.

    The article goes on to say that these cuts give Romney an edge. Why? He is coming from the party that is focusing first on debt reduction first and job creation second. I always find it amazing that these R’s espouse such distaste for the federal government as a “job creator” and yet, northern virginia will be devastated if the federal governments military receives huge debt busting reduction measures. Hmmm, go figure.

  2. Starryflights

    Obama will in Virginia.

  3. Elena

    So goes PWC, so goes the county…….

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