Sometimes gifts come in electronic packages:
Please join Corey and Maria Stewart at…
Corey Stewart’s
Conservatives’ Shindig
Featuring…
*Beer, Wine, Open Bar (21 and older)*
*Maria’s Famous Swedish Meatballs*
*Music, Friends, Food, and Fun*
Suite #855, Hilton McLean Tyson’s Corner
7920 Jones Branch Drive, McLean, VA
Doors Open at 9 p.m.
THE EVENT IS FREE
Hosted by Chairman Corey Stewart, the Prince William County Republican Committee, the 11th District Republican Committee, and the Virginia Rule of Law Campaign
Did you hear the good news about Prince William County’s Criminal Illegal Alien Policy?
- The University of Virginia, the Police Executive Research Forum, and James Madison University have released a 3-year study of the policy’s effectiveness. The results were astounding:
- Aggravated assault declined 46.7% as a result of the policy, while increasingly dramatically in neighboring counties, 75% in Loudoun, and 37.5% in Spotsylvania, and remaining flat in Fairfax.
- Hit-and-run accidents declined 41% as a result of the policy
- Substantial numbers of illegal aliens left the County, but legal immigrants and New Americans stayed and continued to prosper
- Prince William County is viewed by its residents, regardless of race or ethnicity, as a great place to live, and satisfaction with county government is at an all time high!
- Read the full report and follow the developing news at http://www.VirginiaRuleOfLaw.com/
Cracking Down on Illegal Immigration Works. Conservative Solutions Work.
Where is he pulling his figures from? He is leaving off that the good people of Prince William County bought and paid for this report. You won’t see that mention however. Just the crowing and the misquoting of the study will be on the table.
Don’t expect a thank-you-note either. Lucy pulls the football out from under Charlie Brown again–except for Marty and Frank who are wise to him.
Reminder–this is the very policy that Corey said would pass over his dead body.
I for one would sure like to know where that 75% increase in aggravated assaults in Loudoun County came from. This is not the first time I’ve heard it, and I think somebody may be passing around wrong information. It does not compute with what I have been seeing, and I check the crime stats for Neighborhood Watch patrols just about every day. The Loudoun County Sheriff gave our BOS an overview of crime here on 4 October 2010. They used comparative stats for January-August 2009 and January-August 2010. Their chart showed 130 aggravated assaults for that period in 2009 and 72 for the same period in 2010. That comes to a drop of 45%. There would have had to have been a total sea change in the ensuing two months to reach the 75% increase figure. (This might not cover Leesburg, which has its own smaller police force.)
The sense around here is that, with the exception of thefts from vehicles and vandalism against vehicles, crime has been dropping in most categories in LC. In fact, I quite recently heard a deputy state that they are perplexed by this — especially in that one usually sees an increase in crime during a bad economy. You have to be very careful where you get your stats. I do a regular check of the non-official crimereports. com site as well as the Sheriff’s Office Daily Crime Report. Those two often do not match when you pursue the individual cases. For example, not too long ago, I found on crimereports.com that we had had two assaults and a car break-in on two of our patrol streets. You could have knocked me over with a feather. We had been on those streets at that time, and they were as quiet as the proverbial graveyard. Here I was thinking I was going to have to reconfigure our patrol strategy for those two streets. Then I got word from the Sheriff’s Office that the two assaults had been domestic squabbles with no charges and no follow-up and that the theft from the car had been the theft of a license plate. Don’t believe everything you read at first blush.
Wolverine, I don’t know. Check our report in section 8 (around pages 80-105) to see if you can see it. I did not.
I finally ‘found’ the 47% figure. It is an average of 2005-2006 violent crimes and the average from 2008 and 2009. Knowing that really sheds no light. Where is 2007, for example. That was the year that everything hit the proverbial fan.
I have been looking at our own crime statistics from our own county website. It just doesn’t computer. but its good enough to politicize.
My concern is that numbers are just being bandied about. We should be looking at quality of life issues rather than playing funny figures. What was that Mark Twain said about statitstics? When I see that we had 18 fewer lobbies from 2007 to 2008 then that means something to me. When I see averages from 2 pairs of different years with one year missing, well…I start getting confused.
If you figure it out, let me know.
“Where is he pulling his figures from?”
I think we already know that answer to that question, MH.
They aren’t numbers that the Chairman has concocted. The County paid close to 400,000 for it
Which would be the same place almost everyone gets their figures….case in point: How many people were at this rally / that rally.
@Slowpoke Rodriguez
Very true, Slow. The writers of the reports said the results were a mixed bag. That’s pretty straight forward if you ask me. Yet, the spin is still being spun.
Against my personal grain of hating both stats and math, I pulled together some statistical comparatives on aggravated assault taken from the annual crime reports issued by the Metropolitan Council of Governments. I would guess anyone might be able to take certain parts of this and use them to advance their cause. I’ll let you PWCers make of this what you will, but I have taken note that both PWC and Manassas appeared to be on the rise in 2009 in this category while the prelim 2010 stats on Loudoun County show us to be declining — for the moment.
I do think, however, that a point to be made is in the different approaches. We both had big and increasing problems. Although there was some sentiment in Loudoun County in the direction of a PWC-style addressing of illegal immigration, we did not go the route of resolutions or wind up being viral on the internet but, rather, went for a deliberate change in police patrol and coverage tactics, including diversification of forces by building the new substation in Sterling Park and finally going for the 287.g program plus a quite amazing proliferation of an activist and closely shepherded Neighborhood Watch program throughout almost all of Eastern Loudoun and in some other places in the county. I am also being led to conclude that the economy, including a drastic drop in construction and landscaping employment, was probably an important factor here.
I’ll just leave it at that and let you all debate the meaning of the past and most recent stats. I realize that aggravated assault is only one of many crime categories, but I really believe that this category is an important indicator of what your streets are really like. Also take into account that, at the beginning of this decade, aggravated assault was a very rare thing in most of Loudoun County. We are sort of new to this. Hmmm, we just had a very serious aggravated assault about a half mile from me — the deputies have already nabbed three or four of the young Hispanics involved. I dont know for certain, but I would imagine that the victims were also Hispanic youths.
Loudoun County Aggravated Assaults
2005 87
2006 103 +18%
2007 115 +12%
2008 165 +43%
2009 177 +7%
Jan-Aug 2010 -45%
PWC Aggravated Assaults
2005 347
2006 379 +9%
2007 310 -18%
2008 197 -36%
2009 216 +10%
Manassas Park Aggravated Assaults
2005 15
2006 26 +73%
2007 14 -46%
2008 14 same
2009 7 -50%
City of Manassas Aggravated Assaults
2005 88
2006 89 +1%
2007 91 +2%
2008 59 -35%
2009 82 +39%
All yours.
At least we match, Wolverine.
thanks for doing that.
I don’t see where the report is getting a 47% decrease in aggrevated assault for the county. I just don’t see it. Maybe they were looking at Manassas Park.
I am glad yours are going down. Aggrevated assault is assault with a weapon rather than say a fist? Just asking.
I see on the Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments website that in PWC rapes were up 104% between 2008 and 2009, although overall crime was down 2%. By the way, in Arlington County, which passed two resolutions supporting immigrants, overall crime was down 7% and down in every category.
MH, did you see the beautiful moon tonight?
I sure did see it, Firedancer. And I saw it this morning too as it was setting. It was just gorgeous.
Arlington’s overall crime rate remained fairly flat. Very interesting.
Correction, those are numbers that the chairman has cherry picked out of context. Check the PWC crime statistics. You will see what I mean.
Anon, please chose a moniker. I prefer that anon and anonymous not be used. It just gets confusing. Thanks!!!