Junk bonds: Savvy investment or fool’s gold?

What is a junk bond?

According to Msnbc:

CHICAGO — A sideways stock market has investors searching for other places to make a decent return on their money. And junk bonds, for better or worse, are starting to look like gems to many.

The appeal is easy to understand.

Junk bonds, known more politely as high-yield bonds, are bonds with very low credit ratings that corporations pay more interest on so they can attract investors. As of last week, they were yielding 8.34 percent, down from 9 percent earlier in July.

That number is mighty enticing at a time when the Standard & Poor’s 500 index is up just 1 percent for 2010 and down 22 percent from a decade ago. And a murky economic outlook hampers prospects of a strong rebound any time soon.

Virtually nowhere else can you get 8 percent back on your money these days. The going rate for a 10-year U.S. Treasury note last week was 3.05 percent, low by historical standards. It’s not much better for investment-grade, or more highly rated, corporate bonds: 3.8 percent, as measured by the Barclay’s Capital U.S. Credit Bond Index.

Return-starved investors have noticed. High-yield mutual funds have seen nearly $3 billion in inflows over the past three weeks, according to Lipper FMI, a unit of Thomson Reuters.

But investor beware: They’re called junk for a reason. Bonds below investment grade, or those with S&P ratings below BBB and Moody’s ratings below Baa, are much likelier to default.

Has anyone ever owned junk bonds? I have and they did quite well. They were part of a mutual fund I had in a retirement program. They made all sorts of money. I rolled that acount over a while back and I don’t know how that bond fund is doing now. My great risk-taking was when times were good and not a great deal of money was involved.

Are these junk bonds worth the risk? It seems like all of us have taken a huge risk just having a 401k. I honestly have thought about just jumping off the merry-go-round.

Who knows where some good rates of return are outside the stock market? I have a retirement account that guarantees me 4.5%. I used to laugh at it. Now I am not so sure.

Stocks Post Biggest Rebound in 2009 Since Great Depression

Before everyone starts leaping and jumping for joy, it is a good idea to put everything in perspective.  Since March 2009, stocks have made a remarkable recovery.    The bottom had also fallen out of the stock market, so much recovery was needed. 

Several people have said they have broken even to where they were before the crash.  I offer up scenerios.  Those people either weren’t invested heavily in equities or they fed their accounts a lot this past year.  For those who have static accounts, the recovery doesn’t come near to breaking even. 

According to USA Today:

Once it was clear a collapse wasn’t going to happen, the Standard & Poor’s 500 index roared back 64.8% from its early March low. For the full year, the index rose 23.5%, or 211.85 points, it’s best showing since 2003.

 The Dow Jones industrial average rose 1,651.66, or 18.8% for the year. From its March 9 close, the Dow jumped 59.3%. Powered by the recovery in high-tech stocks, the Nasdaq ended 2009 with a gain of 696.12, or 43.9%. Tthe Nasdaq has surged 78.9% from its March low.

 

Up until March of last year, many people were fearful of opening their statements.  If one lost 40% in the crash, and many of us did, it will take a lot more than 40% increase to bring you back even.  That’s the math of percentages.  I have a 401k that increased by 33.6% but I am not even close to being back to the fall 2007 high water mark.  Not even close.

Read More